North Korea Rate of Natural Increase

North Korea’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate—has been modest in recent years, estimated at around 0.4% to 0.6% annually. This is lower than many developing countries, reflecting both declining fertility rates and a relatively stable mortality rate. In contrast, South Korea’s RNI is extremely low and even negative, as it faces ultra-low birth rates and an aging population, leading to population decline. Meanwhile, China, North Korea’s other major neighbor, also has a very low or near-zero RNI due to decades of family planning policies and recent demographic shifts. In comparison, North Korea’s population is still growing, albeit slowly, while its neighbors are experiencing stagnation or decline, highlighting a unique demographic situation shaped by different social, economic, and political factors.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19951.07822,107,253
20000.71822,811,717
20050.59723,669,409
20100.54524,371,787
20150.53525,031,833
20200.51925,701,731
20240.40526,181,538
20250.37126,282,295
20260.35426,376,759
20300.26626,704,049
20350.16426,986,455
20400.0927,151,565
20450.01827,220,540
2050-0.04227,200,057
2055-0.09427,103,587
2060-0.14126,939,552
2065-0.17726,721,877
2070-0.20826,462,190
2075-0.24426,161,547
2080-0.28625,813,951
2085-0.32725,416,194
2090-0.35924,978,464
2095-0.38224,513,615
2100-0.40324,032,052

Data from US Census International Database